Lucas Kohorst

Flypaper Introducing $FLY, $F2, and the Blackbird Flynet, powering the restaurant economy of the future. v2, AUGUST 2024

Introduces the $FLY and $F2 tokens on the Blackbird network, a decentralized hospitality platform aimed at enhancing connectivity, loyalty, and payment systems within the restaurant economy.

The Gambler (walks into a psychologist's office)

Call Him ‘Green New Donald’

Just a moment...

Limitations of Laplace’s rule of succession — LessWrong

Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions

The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.

How a ragtag band of internet friends becamethe bestat forecasting world events

A Practical Guide to Implementing DeepSearch / DeepResearch