Lucas Kohorst
- In the last post, I detailed that collecting texts may become a tempting replacement for obtaining real knowledge, but also that collecting in itself doesn’t get us anywhere. I called this the “Collector’s Fallacy”.
from Note-Taking when Reading the Web and RSS by Christian
- variety is the spice of life
- a specific piece of writing is lucid when it’s cogent and easy to understand.
- A few months ago I was at a conference where Robin Hanson spoke about prediction markets.[1] He argued that given how much of companies' outcomes are driven by who they choose to hire, and how non-rigorous the process of selecting employees and revisiting those selections is, there's a literal trillion-dollar opportunity in getting it right. Predic... See more
from How Many Trillion-Dollar Companies Should There Be? by Byrne Hobart
- WASHINGTON - The Pentagon (news - web sites) is setting up a stock-market style system in which investors would bet on terror attacks, assassinations and other events in the Middle East. Defense officials hope to gain intelligence and useful predictions while investors who guessed right would win profits.
from Betting on acts of terrorism - UK Indymedia
- Anything meaningful takes five years to do, whether that’s getting a company off the ground or mastering a skill.If we start working at 20, that’s 60 productive years — or 12 five-year blocks to do new things, then move on.Instead of living one life or career, why not live a dozen instead?This ebb and flow of interest and desire feels natural to me... See more
from A dozen lives by Stew Fortier
- Internal prediction market
from Why don't more businesses use prediction markets? - Marginal REVOLUTION by Tyler Cowen