Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

days @dcgco nights @adjacent___

kohor.st

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2022 Senate Forecast Methodology

jhkersting.medium.com

I Give Up, Standard & Poor’s Wins

James Bailey economistwritingeveryday.com

Implementing Hanson's Market Maker | Oddhead Blog

blog.oddhead.com

LONGITUDINAL EFFECTS AND CONSUMPTION Copy-Paste Prompts: A New Nudge to Promote Goal Achievement

A study examines the effectiveness of copy-paste prompts in enhancing goal-directed behavior, specifically increasing exercise time by encouraging participants to adopt strategies from acquaintances within their social networks.

amandageiser.com

what is the single best book you can read that will explain an entire industry?

Will Manidis x.com

On the Impossible: Why Cassava Sciences’ simufilam will fail Phase 3 clinical trials and the stock will trade to $2

The text analyzes Cassava Sciences' simufilam, predicting its failure in Phase 3 trials for Alzheimer's disease due to ineffective mechanisms, poor pharmacokinetics, and manipulative data practices.

ontheimpossible.vercel.app

Open Source AI Is Coming for Your Fine-Tuning Plays (And Why Your NVIDIA Position Is Still Safe)

Abrar Rahman abrarrahman.substack.com

Predicting the 2024 Presidential Election Result Probabilities with Machine Learning

Alexander Huang allora.network

How to think about the economic impact of AI

Luis Garicano substack.com