The chapter explores methods for identifying skilled forecasters in crowd prediction, classifying skill correlates, and analyzing their effectiveness in improving aggregate forecasting accuracy.
According to estimates from the World Bank Group, in coordination with the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), the physical damage to Jamaica caused by Hurricane Melissa totals US$8.8 billion, which is equivalent to 41% percent of the country’s 2024 GDP, making it the costliest hurricane recorded in Jamaica’s history.