Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

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@mattyglesias A group of public health "experts" successfully urged Pfizer to delay reporting their results until after the election. A bit of an underreported story. https://t.co/8KcfmxIa89

Nate Silver

x.com

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead — EA Forum

forum.effectivealtruism.org

'Mattress Mack' On How His Outrageous Sports Bets Built A $240 Million Empire

Willy Akowicz forbes.com

n1.tools: Conduct simple N-of-1 Experiments

n1.tools

Interesting ideas in Observable Framework

Simon Willison simonwillison.net

pm-AMM: A Uniform AMM for Prediction Markets

Ciamac Moallemi paradigm.xyz

Using Prediction Markets to Enhance US Intelligence Capabilities

Using prediction markets to improve US intelligence capabilities. The document discusses the potential of prediction markets to enhance strategic and tactical intelligence work within the US Intelligence Community.

cia.gov

Polymarket Overprices Volatility

Mike Platt open.substack.com

Claude Code overview - Anthropic

docs.anthropic.com