Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.
michaelmbishop.github.io
Nate Silver on Life’s Mixed Strategies (Ep. 251)
conversationswithtyler.comBitcoin TreasuryCos & The Roaring 20s
bewaterltd.com
Because of the nuances of the Electoral College, votes in some states are much more likely to swing the election than others. FiveThirtyEight compiled a “voter power index” (VPI), which compares the relative power of the vote. A VPI of 1 means that a voter in that state has an average chance of swinging the election (~1 in 60 million). A VPI of 2... See more
Voter Impact Index
LLM-driven data pipelines with prompt() in MotherDuck and dbt - MotherDuck Blog
Adithya Krishnanmotherduck.com
OffDeal | Find Ideal Buyers for Your Business with AI
offdeal.io@roiguy123 funny enough back in 2019 before building bet tracking, @tonyjonikas and I had an idea to build a 0-commission exchange with this exact model - ads in free tier and subscription for high volume / sharps. then we found what @a_kane47 was up to and switched to bet tracking :)
Pranav Tadikondax.com