Lucas Kohorst

Slight aside here, talking about people being “familiar with” things, I find that super subject matter experts can sometimes be very bad at predicting the thing they’re an expert in. That is because they overweight their own expertise."

Today we’re launching the Anthropic Economic Index, a new initiative aimed at understanding AI's impact on the economy over time. The Index’s first paper analyzes millions of anonymized Claude conversations to reveal how AI is being used today in tasks across the economy. https://t.co/WWxwcv217m

Note from Citizens on the new per-bet tax in Illinois suggests that the move could prompt online sportsbook operators to nudge players in "higher tax states" toward (non-state-regulated) prediction markets: https://t.co/dEHI8QO56N