The precision that makes them so theoretically useful is itself a curse for their liquidity, so prediction market evangelists should welcome all new traders with open arms.
Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions
The article discusses the identification and development of superforecasters to enhance probabilistic predictions in various fields, highlighting their distinctive cognitive abilities, task-specific skills, motivation, and the impact of enriched environments on performance.