Lucas Kohorst

In exclusive Discord groups, many of them trade information, such as tips on “bonds” — their term for low-risk, low-return bets that, while not as ironclad as U.S. Treasuries, are the prediction-market version of a sure thing

This information value is significant enough that people check prediction markets for real-time updates on events; some (e.g. The Base Rate Times, Polymarket, Kalshi) are building out media coverage and newsletters based on this data.