Lucas Kohorst

Abundance for Whom?

thebreakthrough.org

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How Good Were 2025 Forecasts?

economistwritingeveryday.com

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GPTs are Predictors, not Imitators — LessWrong

Eliezer Yudkowskylesswrong.com

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Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity

metr.org

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The Fall Of Intrade And The Business Of Betting On Real Life

buzzfeed.com

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The prediction market primitive

medium.com

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