Lucas Kohorst
Models vs. Markets: Forecasting the 2020 U.S. Election | The Journal of Prediction Markets
Margin of Inefficiency in Prediction Markets
- he previously mentioned research finds that an investor with $100,000 in an equity mutual fund has the equivalent of a $2,500 bet on the election already.
from The folly of making political prediction markets like Intrade illegal by Reuters
Forecasting newsletter for September 2024: Political betting live in the US
by Nuño Sempere
Inkling Markets Blog
INKLING: ONE PREDICTION MARKET PLATFORM PROVIDER’S EXPERIENCE | The Journal of Prediction Markets
by Adam Siegel