Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
Why We're Opening Betting Sponsorships in Esports & How We're Doing It Responsibly
riotgames.com
Bill Watterson: 'Some Thoughts on the Real World by One Who Glimpsed It and Fled', Kenyon College - 1990
Bill Wattersonspeakola.com
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dataverse.harvard.eduGood Judgment Project Archived (2016) Data
adly, Manifold does not produce particularly good predictions. In last year’s ACX contest, it performed worse than simply averaging predictions from the same number of people who took part in each market. Their calibration, while good by human standards, has a clear systematic bias towards predicting things will happen when they don’t (Yes bias).... See more
Robin • Manifold markets isn’t very good — EA Forum
The Dawn of Infinite Code
The Dawn of Infinite Code San Mateo, 2005: three founders add an upload button to their video-hosting website in an office that smells faintly of pepperoni. Everywhere, 2025: a person types an idea, presses enter, and a network of agents compiles, tests, and executes. In The End of Software, I po...
docs.google.com
On monetary restandardization | Unqualified Reservations by Mencius Moldbug
unqualified-reservations.org
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2009): Corporate Applications for Prediction Markets | The Journal of Prediction Markets
ubplj.org