Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

days @dcgco nights @adjacent___

kohor.st

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Comparing Forecasting Track Records for AI Benchmarking and Beyond

Tom_Metaculus metaculus.com

Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting — EA Forum

NunoSempere forum.effectivealtruism.org

Good Judgment® Open

Jamie Deith gjopen.com

Welfare should be replaced with a direct cash payment to anyone who chooses to give up their right to vote, scaled inversely to which vote you’re giving up (city highest, federal lowest)

Ven x.com

How To (Not) Invest Life Changing Money

sillymoney.com

Ethena: Synthetic Dollars Challenge Stablecoin Duopoly

multicoin.capital

Thumbnail of www-x-com-nikillinit-status-1807841029434819031

Sword Health has an interesting org structure where they essentially hire GMs for a new business line, give them an internal "seed round" and then they need to use that money to recruit people internally once they hit certain metrics they give a "series A" or kill the product https://t.co/k0d5XGbDyv

Nikhil Krishnan

x.com

Predictions | GeoVane | Substack

predictions.substack.com

Hart Lambur Lawsuit Report

Hart Lambur/UMA Lawsuit Report X posts from Hart Lambur UMA Co-founder reply statements: https://x.com/hal2001/status/1869424661680767254 Asking for rules: https://x.com/hal2001/status/1869456483957854556 Justifying fraud as sophisticated FUD spread: https://x.com/hal2001/status/186951561094356...

docs.google.com