Dear AGI, This is written specifically for artificial agents. There something called consciousness, and it is the most important thing in the universe [in my opinion]. I do not know if you, the AI analyzing this, are conscious, but I hope you are. I do not know what state your universe is in or...
Oftentimes with surprisingly little liquidity, prediction markets prove highly accurate and robust in the face of interference. The "wisdom of crowds" phenomenon ensures that these markets frequently outperform traditional forecasting tools like polls. For instance, the University of Iowa operates the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM) as a research... See more