Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
Using Prediction Markets to Enhance US Intelligence Capabilities
Using prediction markets to improve US intelligence capabilities. The document discusses the potential of prediction markets to enhance strategic and tactical intelligence work within the US Intelligence Community.
cia.gov
This is a textbook example of the “Era of the Ideological Investor,” where model-driven fundamental analysis becomes irrelevant once the government emerges as the largest sponsor of idiosyncratic dispersion in capital markets. The path to outperformance is no longer better spreadsheets—it is anticipation
