Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

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Liquidity and Prediction Market Efficiency

The paper investigates the relationship between liquidity and market efficiency in prediction markets, revealing that increased liquidity may not enhance pricing accuracy and can even worsen it due to naive trading behavior.

business.columbia.edu

expand.ai

time to speedrun becoming principal engineer🍿 https://t.co/jEcag37rmm

boon

x.com

Volatility Is Back On The Menu

0xsmac 0xsmac.substack.com

o3-mini is really good at writing internal documentation

Simon Willison simonwillison.net

Why Does "Commoditize the Complement" Work?

Byrne Hobart thediff.co

Here Are the 30,000 Pages of Federal Reserve Board Meeting Minutes I Got Through FOIA. They Completely Rewrite Federal Reserve History.

Nathan Tankus crisesnotes.com

Thumbnail of Here Are the 30,000 Pages of Federal Reserve Board Meeting Minutes I Got Through FOIA. They Completely Rewrite Federal Reserve History.

Edge Proofs: AI-Powered Prediction Market Oracles

Omer Goldberg chaoslabs.xyz