Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

days @dcgco nights @adjacent___

kohor.st

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There are still huge opportunities in insurance

Louise Samet medium.com

What does insurance X prediction markets look like

16% of all Cubans living in America in 1990 arrived during the Mariel Boatlift. 8% of all Cuban-Americans (that were in the country in 1990) arrived in the single month of May 1980.

When Markets Beat

The text discusses the effectiveness of prediction markets, particularly the Iowa Electronic Markets, in forecasting election outcomes more accurately than traditional polls, while exploring underlying theories and debates surrounding their predictive capabilities.

mason.gmu.edu

@NathanpmYoung @ManifoldMarkets yup, agreed. the root of the problem seems to be a difficulty in finding uninformed flow that doesn’t come from degen gamblers. cf @hoke_t ‘s great essay: https://t.co/yQwXkRjrLh

saul munn x.com

turns out spending a quarter million a year on 𝕏 badges was, indeed, a solid investment

LeGate x.com

Bloomberg - Are you a robot?

bloomberg.com

self-knowledge bible

vibhutea.com

Thoughts on AI 2027 — LessWrong

Jonas Vollmer lesswrong.com

Idea futures inside the corporation - Marginal REVOLUTION

Tyler Cowen marginalrevolution.com