Lucas Kohorst

@lucas

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Ramblings on DeFi Derivatives

"Thus markets for...celebrity unions and papal conclaves can make transparent what remains somewhat obscure in the tumultuous world of stock and bond trading—price movements are signals that many compete to understand, but which none can interpret with complete confidence."

Mick Bransfield x.com

Forecasting: Principles and Practice, the Pythonic Way

otexts.com

How to choose what to work on

Jason Crawford blog.rootsofprogress.org

Vision Pro is an over-engineered “devkit” // Hardware bleeds genius & audacity but software story is disheartening // What we got wrong at Oculus that Apple got right // Why...

Hugo Barra hugo.blog

Thumbnail of Vision Pro is an over-engineered “devkit” // Hardware bleeds genius & audacity but software story is disheartening // What we got wrong at Oculus that Apple got right // Why...

This looks like a pretty reasonable plot of P(Russia invades Ukraine) over time. Except that, as was subsequently revealed, the image is in fact an edited version of a screenshot of this Manifold question, wherein the original price graph has been replaced with that of front-month Brent crude futures1 over the same time period. As it turns out, the... See more

Tanner Hoke • Let there be flow - Tanner Hoke

Really knowing things - Tanner Hoke

Tanner Hoke tannerhoke.com

[REPOST] Good Conversations Have Lots of Doorknobs

experimental-history.com experimental-history.com

Solana Ecosystem Report (H1 2025) — Earnings & Growth

helius.dev