Lucas Kohorst

On the Impossible: Why Cassava Sciences’ simufilam will fail Phase 3 clinical trials and the stock will trade to $2

ontheimpossible.vercel.app

A Gentle Introduction to Risk Frameworks Beyond Forecasting

Nuño Sempereopen.substack.com

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Reasons of State: Why Didn’t Denmark Sell Greenland?

gwern.net

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You Are Naturally Short Housing

thezikomoletterthezikomoletter.wordpress.com

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Stew Fortier A dozen lives

#26 Why dTAO is broken

tzedonntzedonn.substack.com

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The Transistor Cliff—Asterisk

Sarah Constantinasteriskmag.com

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Time Travelling Life Insurance Arbitrage / Welcome to Error Margin

errormargin.com

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