Lucas Kohorst

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Are we entering a Conservative Golden Age?

The End of Oil

The paper examines the potential decline in global oil demand and its effects on production behavior, investigating the balance between the green paradox and disinvestment in oil extraction strategies.

Seer

Seer Predicting the future? Yes Seer! Introduction Ancient Greeks seers tried to predict the future by looking at the flight of birds, entrails of sacrificed animals or even by consuming psychotropes leading to hallucinations. But today we have a way more efficient method which still remains un...

The 1800s Had 'Brainrot' Too!

Liquidity and Prediction Market Efficiency

The paper investigates the relationship between liquidity and market efficiency in prediction markets, revealing that increased liquidity may not enhance pricing accuracy and can even worsen it due to naive trading behavior.

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