Lucas Kohorst
@lucas
days @dcgco nights @adjacent___
Lucas Kohorst
kohor.st
Artemis - MarketView - Risk Modelling Companies and Professionals
artemis.bm
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
The document discusses prediction market prices as reflections of average beliefs under different utility functions. Field data supports that these prices generally correspond with mean beliefs.
users.nber.orgBlockspace as a Commodity w/ Will Nuelle
open.spotify.comThe United States could produce all its power by covering 2% of its land with solar panels - for comparison, we use 20% of our land for agriculture, so this would look like Nevada specializing in farming electricity somewhat less intensely than Iowa specializes in farming corn
Scott Alexander • Notes From The Progress Studies Conference
Remedying Incentive Misalignment from When Tips dwarf Stakes
forum.olas.info