Data on forecasting accuracy across different time horizons and levels of forecaster experience — EA Forum

by Charles Dillon

Turning 23

by Leonard Tang

Seed Valuations Aren’t Valuations

by Nnamdi Iregbulem

How to make real-money prediction markets on arbitrary topics (Outdated) — LessWrong

by yutaka

Age of Invention: The Coal Conquest

by Anton Howes

Project Solomon

by Ryan Selkis

Three Subtle Examples of Data Leakage — LessWrong

by abstractapplic

Reflect Orbital: The Stanford Dropout Taking on the Sun

by Abhi Desai

Kalshi’s Court Victory: A Turning Point for Prediction Markets?

by Mohit Agarwal

2 highlights

Unlocking Monad’s Potential: The Critical Role of Block Production Economics

by Edward Shi