Notoriously Curious, Data Science Nerd & Entrepreneurship Advocate
Author of CuratedCuriosity - a bi-weekly newsletter with hand picked recommendations for your information diet
Mental Models: The Best Way to Make Intelligent Decisions (~100 Models Explained)
The housing boom & office bust aren't just downstream of the same causes—pandemic, remote work—but also they're mutually reinforcing.
With the "donut effect," you get a hollowing out of urban real estate (esp. offices), pushing value to residential RE in suburbs, small towns.
In the current economic system, unemployment spreads like a virus: people lose their jobs, stop spending money, businesses are forced to shut down, and so on.A Job Guarantee could act as a buffer that absorbs unemployed people before they fall to the bottom rungs of the economic ladder. And this could help to stabilize the economy during... See more
A mental model is simply a representation of how something works. We cannot keep all of the details of the world in our brains, so we use models to simplify the complex into understandable and organizable chunks.
You observe that most great scientists have tremendous drive. I worked for ten years with John Tukey at Bell Labs. He had tremendous drive. One day about three or four years after I joined, I discovered that John Tukey was slightly younger than I was. John was a genius and I clearly was not. Well I went storming into Bode's office and said, ``How... See more
Also, don’t fall into the trap of productivity porn—chasing productivity for its own sake isn’t helpful. Many people spend too much time thinking about how to perfectly optimize their system, and not nearly enough asking if they’re working on the right problems.
Having the self-belief that you will be able to figure things out as you go along is critical to success at anything hard.
Get started and trust yourself. No one has all the answers at the beginning.