Tesla may be a car company today, but Tesla won’t be a car company in 15 years. Rather, Tesla will be a full stack, vertically integrated clean energy company. They may still produce cars, but cars will represent a fraction of total profits.
If interest rates begin to rise or we see a post Covid-19 global slowdown, these automakers may struggle to make interest and debt repayment schedules while borrowing additional debt to fund its plans to rapidly build out their EV infrastructure and compete with Tesla. This issue raises major concerns for the survival of these traditional auto... See more
In order to build efficient, combustion-based generators, we needed to build them at economies of scale and extensive transmission and distribution networks to transport power along with them. Those wires are vulnerable to being knocked out by storms (or even squirrels), leading to blackouts, or supply shortages leading to cascading failure. That... See more
Tesla’s cell constraints are likely to continue over the medium term. Because its most profitable use of cells is likely to be in electric vehicles, we do not expect Tesla’s energy storage business to drive enterprise value meaningfully during the next five years.