Web3

Leaning into these features of property in the physical world will allow for a highly specialized and differentiated agent that isn’t possible today. For example, imagine J. R. R. Tolkien held a certain NFT agent and used it while writing The Hobbit . Let’s say you want to write your own fantasy novel and are seeking an agent to help you. The fact ... See more

Right on schedule, just like almost every other year, it will be time to sell in the late stages of the first quarter and chill on the beach, at the clerb, or on a ski resort in the southern hemisphere and wait for positive fiat liquidity conditions to re-emerge in the third quarter.

If factors affecting TGA balances were the only things that determined crypto prices, then I would expect a local market top right at the end of the first quarter. In 2024, Bitcoin hit a local high of ~$73,000 in mid-March, then traded sideways, and began its multi-month decline on April 11th right before the 15th tax payment deadline.

The Treasury has two choices on how it pays the government’s bills. They can either issue debt (dollar liquidity negative) or spend money from its checking account at the Fed (dollar liquidity positive). Because the aggregate amount of debt cannot rise until the US Congress increases the debt ceiling, the Treasury can only spend funds from its chec... See more

Looking ahead, the wealth divide will likely accelerate and today’s social tensions must inevitably rise. But, much like in 1920s Germany when hyper-inflation savaged the post-WW1 economy, there was also a widening split between young (stock speculators) and old (bond investors). In today’s monetary inflation World, many young (crypto investors) ar... See more

For example, if public debt is compounding higher at a 7-8% annual clip, then liquidity needs to keep pace to avoid financial crises. Think of it as the ‘cost’ of stability. This rate of monetary inflation represents a return hurdle for other assets because it measures the rate of debasement of paper money. Hence, investors need to figure which ass... See more

In parallel, key performance indicators (KPIs) will shift. The crypto industry’s focus will transition from speculative token trading and Total Value Locked (TVL) to more adoption-driven metrics such as daily active users (DAUs), transaction volumes, and user retention. Projects that align their growth strategies with user-centric KPIs will gain a ... See more

Another pressing topic for 2025 is the role of stablecoins in reducing transaction costs . Many businesses, especially in e-commerce and cross-border payments, grapple with high fees imposed by traditional financial systems. Stablecoins provide a compelling alternative, offering lower costs, faster settlements, and greater transparency. Businesses ... See more

To bridge this gap, venture capital will likely prioritize projects that simplify onboarding processes and offer intuitive user interfaces . Applications with clear value propositions, catering to both retail and institutional audiences, will take center stage. Examples include wallets with seamless fiat-to-crypto transitions, decentralized finance... See more