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If the world was full of probabilistic thinkers, no one would build the next SpaceX or Tesla. The best founders put it all on the line. You want to be a probabilistic thinker as an investor, but a deterministic thinker as an entrepreneur.
Some people think that in order to find meaning in their life they need to go on endless spiritual retreats and soul searching journeys and take psychedelics, but those will not solve for meaning in the same way that making commitments will. They might help you clarify which commitments to make, but if you don’t make commitments, you won’t have mea
... See moreas Antonio Garcia Martinez more colorfully put it in an episode of Moment of Zen:
“Tell us what Bayes Theorem says about Israel vs Palestine. Tell us what Bayes Theorem says about how to be a good father. Tell us what Bayes Theorem says about what’s the meaning of life.”
Reason provides poor answers to these questions, and so trying to determine
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