prediction markets
Lucas Kohorst added 6mo ago
Metaculus
("JP") added 9mo ago
- I am also a fan of prediction markets, which can help identify the significance of events in real time , before the dust settles and there is consensus on which direction is which. The Polymarket on Sam Altman is very helpful in giving a useful summary of the ultimate consequences of hour-by-hour revelations and negotiations, giving much-needed con... See more
from My Techno-Optimism
("JP") added 9mo ago
- Internal prediction market
from Why don't more businesses use prediction markets? - Marginal REVOLUTION by Tyler Cowen
("JP") added 9mo ago
- A few months ago I was at a conference where Robin Hanson spoke about prediction markets.[1] He argued that given how much of companies' outcomes are driven by who they choose to hire, and how non-rigorous the process of selecting employees and revisiting those selections is, there's a literal trillion-dollar opportunity in getting it right. Predic... See more
from How Many Trillion-Dollar Companies Should There Be? by Byrne Hobart
("JP") added 9mo ago
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