long-term thinking
musings on long-term thinking in a shortsighted world. we overestimate what we can do in a year, underestimate what we can do in 10 kinda thing.
Juan Orbea and
long-term thinking
"Move fast and break things" is outdated advice for startups.
Software ate the world—and there's more competition than ever.
Our startup learned the hard way to ignore this advice, and this is what happened:
Dani Granttwitter.comMrBeast subscriber growth:
2012: 22 subscribers
2013: 612 subscribers
2014: 1,604 subscribers
2015: 15,429 subscribers
2016: 100,000 subscribers
2017: 1 million subscribers
2018: 10 million subscribers
2019: 28.4... See more
World of Statisticsx.com
As humans, we're evolutionarily wired to prioritize short-term gain. Hunter gatherers had no use for five-year plans, and those instincts are still within us. Combine that with our current economic system, ad-driven business models, and algorithmic social media platforms, all of which visibly reward cynical short-term games, and you've got the... See more