Literary References for Uncertainty Analysis

Our ability to make the most out of uncertainty is what creates the most potential value. We should be fueled not by a desire for a quick catharsis but by intrigue. Where certainty ends, progress begins. Our obsession with certainty has another side effect. It distorts our vision through a set of funhouse mirrors called unknown knowns.

VALUING IS MAN'S EMOTIONAL REACTION TO THE VARIOUS STATES OF HIS ENVIRONMENT, BOTH THAT OF THE EXTERNAL WORLD AND THAT OF THE PHYSIOLOGICAL CONDITIONS OF HIS OWN BODY.

LUDWIG VON MISES

In a way, these things they’d gathered were an illusion. A way to reassure themselves that they were doing something to prepare.

Yet, despite a tremendous increase in available facts, there were remarkably few insights.

Linearity is an artificial way of viewing the world. Real life isn’t a series of interconnected events occurring one after another like beads strung on a necklace.

but the Gods On man bestow not all their gifts at once;