Literary References for Uncertainty Analysis

Our ability to make the most out of uncertainty is what creates the most potential value. We should be fueled not by a desire for a quick catharsis but by intrigue. Where certainty ends, progress begins. Our obsession with certainty has another side effect. It distorts our vision through a set of funhouse mirrors called unknown knowns.

In a way, these things they’d gathered were an illusion. A way to reassure themselves that they were doing something to prepare.

Yet, despite a tremendous increase in available facts, there were remarkably few insights.

Linearity is an artificial way of viewing the world. Real life isn’t a series of interconnected events occurring one after another like beads strung on a necklace.

but the Gods On man bestow not all their gifts at once;