You're wrong about tomorrow
My baseline case is that the AI being built right now is overrated; soon it will be a disappointment; then it will be a bubble; and, by the 2030s, it will be world-changing.
Self-driving cars are a model for this.
- In 2015, I heard autonomy was 5 years away from taking over the roads.
- In... See more
DKThompx.com
I find the story of AI and radiology fascinating. Of course, Hinton's prediction was wrong* and tech advances don't automatically and straightforwardly cause job replacement — that's not the interesting part.
Radiology has embraced AI enthusiastically, and the labor force is growing nevertheless. The... See more
Aside from the doomers who believe that AI will kill us all and the techno-utopians who believe it will solve all of our problems, there are three main ways that people seem to be thinking about AI.
At one extreme, you might fear that AI will take your job. Certainly, you’ve read as much in the press, and it does seem to be getting better and... See more
At one extreme, you might fear that AI will take your job. Certainly, you’ve read as much in the press, and it does seem to be getting better and... See more