Random rant on reading, LLMs, education: Current LLM models could be 100x better and literally nothing would change for most normal people re: knowledge acquisition. We've had the internet and access to every single book on the planet in a blink and still most people don't use this. IT's only accelerated the learnings... See more

I met with Peter Thiel once I pitched him on a system to detect trends he told me it wasn't interesting because by the time a trend is in place, it means that it's likely overvalued I thought I learned a lost then he top blasted all his previous investments and... See more

Yes, but also: If a topic is so epistemically murky that someone smart can come up with a new consideration that alters your key conclusions, then you shouldn’t update too strongly on the most recent compelling story you’ve heard. Historically, the way we’ve dealt well with rapidly evolving... See more

AGENCY VS NPC What are the limits of agency? 1) Until five minutes ago, the West was run by NPCs. You slotted into your role, waited decades to be president, propped up the postwar order, established the establishment. 2) Now it's run by high agency people. You... See more