rookie mistake for smart people everywhere is to obsess over truth at the expense of memetic fitness
rookie mistake for smart people everywhere is to obsess over truth at the expense of memetic fitness
The term “cognitive biases” is arguably misleading in that it suggests that believing truth would be a kind of default. Arguably, it’s amazing that we manage to believe the truth at all. If you want your beliefs to be accurate, you’re constantly swimming against your own biology and instincts.Broadly speaking, I think we can identify three reasons ... See more
dynomight • Effectiveness beats accuracy
If someone is consistently getting good results even though they're obviously doing it wrong, it means there's something you're missing about how the world works.
One of the stupidest things I’ve repeatedly seen smart people do – I call this Advanced Stupid – is that they get so fixated on trying to optimize something complicated, that they forget to optimize for survival, and then they get knocked out of the game. Like having a startup trying to do something complicatedly clever, and then running out of mon
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