ex-Google CEO, @elonmusk's @xAI advisor and Scale AI's @alexandr_wang sound the alarm on superintelligence. "We introduce the concept of Mutual Assured AI Malfunction (MAIM): a deterrence regime resembling nuclear mutual assured destruction (MAD)" 👀 https://t.co/XyQrysITXL

• Development of hypersonic missiles and increased use of cruise missiles . Cruise missiles get to their target in less time once they’ve been detected, and their targets and payloads are more ambiguous — hypersonic missiles have similar problems. This makes decision making under a possible attack harder and increases risk.


• Changing cybersecurity

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But analysts in the Navy’s official think tank came up with a new strategic idea: finite deterrence . All the U.S. needed, they argued, was enough nuclear weapons to destroy the 100 largest cities in the Soviet Union; this could be done with a mere 640 mis -siles in 40 submarines

o, in 1964, McNamara declared a new nuclear policy, stating — in very similar terms to the Navy’s strategy of a few years earlier — that the U.S. needed only enough weapons to kill roughly 30 per -cent of the Soviet Union’s population and half of its industrial capacity. At that point, all of the major cities would be destroyed; launching any more... See more

A number of people have claimed that a full-scale nuclear war is likely to cause human extinction. I have investigated this issue in depth and concluded that even a full scale nuclear exchange is unlikely (<1%) to cause human extinction.