We don’t have a hundred biases, we have the wrong model - Works in Progress
Jason Collinsworksinprogress.co
We don’t have a hundred biases, we have the wrong model - Works in Progress
The term “cognitive biases” is arguably misleading in that it suggests that believing truth would be a kind of default. Arguably, it’s amazing that we manage to believe the truth at all. If you want your beliefs to be accurate, you’re constantly swimming against your own biology and instincts.Broadly speaking, I think we can identify three reasons ... See more
dynomight • Effectiveness beats accuracy
To solve problems, our brains have evolved to employ cognitive heuristics—rough shortcuts that get the right answer often, but not all the time.
Eliezer Yudkowsky • Rationality
That sort of error is called “statistical bias.” When your method of learning about the world is biased, learning more may not help. Acquiring more data can even consistently worsen a biased prediction.