Understanding the Differences Between Bayesian and Frequentist ...
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Understanding the Differences Between Bayesian and Frequentist ...
Fisher and his contemporaries had no problem with the formula called Bayes’s theorem per se, which is just a simple mathematical identity. Instead, they were worried about how it might be applied. In particular, they took issue with the notion of the Bayesian prior.46 It all seemed too subjective: we have to stipulate, in advance, how likely we thi
... See morein the policeman’s syllogism (1.5), whether the plausibility for A increases by a large amount, raising it almost to certainty; or only a negligibly small amount, making the data B almost irrelevant? The object of the present work is to develop the mathematical theory which answers such questions, in the greatest depth and generality now possible.