Ultimately, as I argue in this essay, these changes will increase the supply of fiat money and financial repression globally. These two things must happen because no US, EU, Chinese, or Japanese leaders wish to deleverage their system to bring it into a new sustainable equilibrium. Instead, they will print money and destroy the real purchasing... See more

there exists a wide gap between crypto investor’s high expectations for how quickly Trump can change things and the reality that there are no politically acceptable solutions available to Trump to quickly bring about such change. The market will instantly wake up to the reality that Trump has at best one year to enact any policy changes on or... See more

Let me be clear: the US can print more money without hyperinflation than China can. Trump and Bessent have made it very clear that this is what they intend to do. Therefore, Xi will allow the yuan-dollar exchange rate to float, which in the near term means the yuan will depreciate.

By government fiat, dollars can be created and then spent on goods and services by changing the carrying cost of gold. This is the definition of a fiat currency devaluation. Because every other fiat currency also implicitly has a gold value based on the amount of gold held by its respective government, these currencies will all automatically rise... See more

Currently, gold is valued at $42.22/oz on the American balance sheet. Technically speaking, the Treasury issues a gold certificate to the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which the Treasury values at $42.22/oz. Suppose Bessent can convince the US Congress to change the statutory price of gold, thus devaluing the dollar vs. gold. In that case, the... See more

Trump advocates the re-industrialization of America to help those who want good manufacturing jobs and those who wish to possess a strong military. To do so requires reversing the imbalances built under the Petroyuan system. This will be accomplished by weakening the dollar, providing tax grants and subsidies to produce things domestically, and... See more

Before we get to the crack-up-boom phase in this crypto bull market, I believe the crypto markets will experience a harrowing dump around Trump’s January 20th 2025 inauguration day. Maelstrom will be lightening up on certain positions in advance, hoping to rebuy some core positions at lower prices sometime in 1H25. Obviously, every trader says this... See more

Trump is an astute politician and knows his base. To me, that means he must go big early, which is why my money is on a massive dollar vs. gold devaluation early into his first 100 days in office. It is an easy way to make production costs globally competitive in America quickly. It will lead to an immediate re-shoring of productive capacity,... See more

Other than the US, the largest global exporters in order of size are China (currency: yuan), the EU (currency: euro), the United Kingdom (currency: pound), and Japan (currency: yen). The dollar must decline against all these currencies to encourage a company on the margin to relocate production inside America.