Origins This book presents my current understanding of judgment and decision making,

The psychophysics of value induce risk aversion in the domain of gains and risk seeking in the domain of losses.

The premise of this book is that it is easier to recognize other people’s mistakes than our own.

information and the cognitive ease of processing it.

most of what you (your System 2) think and do originates in your System 1, but System 2 takes over when things get difficult, and it normally has the last word.

Anchor your judgment of the probability of an outcome on a plausible base rate. Question the diagnosticity of your evidence.

System 1 continuously generates

2: impressions, intuitions, intentions, and feelings.

People tend to assess the relative importance of issues by the ease with