The Year Ahead for Markets 2025 - Delphi Digital

On January 1st, the US debt ceiling will be reinstated (based on the amount of debt outstanding on that date). Until legislation is passed to raise or suspend the debt ceiling (yet again), the US Treasury will have to tap cash on hand in the TGA to finance its spending obligations.

At the end of the day, continued fiscal deficits will increase US public debts, which requires more liquidity, more monetization and more currency debasement.

Which is good news for holders of scarce assets (equities, RE, gold, BTC, crypto).

In a world where the Fed — and other central banks — are driving 5-7% annual debasement of their currencies, investors need to make more like 10-15% annual returns to outpace this loss in future purchasing power.