
The Volatility Machine

this book I will argue that certain types of financial crises—like the crises that have affected many Latin American and Asian countries in recent years—are problems of sovereign balance sheet mismanagement and not economic mismanagement.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
.economics
One problem with most LDC securities markets is that there is a very poor balance of investors.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
It is enough to summarize the key liquidity events that preceded the booms.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
a market collapse is nearly always implicit in the structure of the market itself.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
Since that is the case, any sovereign borrowing strategy that does not implicitly assume a fairly neutral position about the direction of credit spreads can involve a significant increase in volatility—and hence in the probability of distress.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
The second, less obvious, way is to reduce directly the mismatch between revenues and expenses by lining up debt servicing costs with operating revenues.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
I will distinguish between economic policy and the transmission of volatility, and I will argue that policy-making must be constructed in an environment in which excess volatility is kept to a minimum.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
The Eurodollar market was the name given to the market surrounding the dollar accumulation in the banking system outside the United States during the “dollar glut” period of low U.S. interest rates in the 1960s.
Michael Pettis • The Volatility Machine
When volatility increases, the negative effect on the already low intrinsic value is less than the positive effect on time value. As volatility increases, consequently, equity value increases.