As the children of the white working class find themselves in the same position as African Americans, a more traditional social struggle will emerge, based on exclusion of the lower class. It will create alliances that are unthinkable today.

There is obviously a level in which humans make their own choices, but as Adam Smith pointed out, all those individual choices lead to a predictable nation. It is predictability that is behind the orderliness of American cycles.

there is a general feeling that something is terribly wrong with the federal government, and we can expect that perception to intensify in the 2020s.

The 2020s will be a period of failures. The 2030s and beyond will be a period of creation.

Because the majority of Americans are not passionate about ideologies, it means that candidates from both parties are selected by a minority who is passionate. Because those who accept the predominant ideology are the ones voting, the candidates are increasingly being selected from the fringe. Particularly in congressional elections, the dedicated

Technocracy is the concept that emerged early in the twentieth century that argues that government should be in the hands of nonideological and apolitical experts whose power derived from their knowledge. Technocracy was not primarily about wealth. It was about merit regardless of the rewards. Thus, tech billionaires and assistant professors held t

Every eighty years or so, the United States shifts the way its political institutions work. The broad framework of the Constitution stays in place, but the federal and state institutions change their relationship to each other

The second reason is that the people who are most concerned about climate change are people who are least trusted.

At the same time, the Democrats became more dogmatic on the economic principles and the ideological and cultural issues.