The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond
George Friedmanamazon.com
The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond
The economy enters a period in which economic dysfunction becomes unbearable to one social faction, even while another continues to benefit.
The problem is rather that the dramatically increasing level of federal involvement in society has outstripped its institutional capabilities.
American strategy prior to 1992 was to use military force to pursue its interest. Its greatest triumph was in World War II, when, in addition to defeating Germany and Japan, it gained domination of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, securing the United States from invasion, if not nuclear war. Since World War II, the United States has consistently us
... See moreBut technology is a poor guide to what comes next. The reaction to technology is frequently not what the technologists want to see.
For the economy to evolve, then, so must the relationship of Americans to nature. That requires evolution in technology and, in turn, evolution in how Americans learn to create not only new technologies but the businesses that grow from them, the way Americans entertain
Reason leads to language, and the battleground of the technocrat is language. If the language is reshaped, so will be the action. Political correctness, as it’s called, is the manner in which the technocrats as the ascendant class reshaped the world. The tension of the technocracy is between their work in their own fields and the universal principl
... See moreThe problem at the end of the Reagan cycle is that capital has successfully expanded, but is no longer able to drive the economy, and has left a large part of society increasingly unequal.
Perhaps most important was the fact that the factions were so deeply divided that in many cases no one knew anyone who disagreed with them and friendships between those who were political opponents were hard to find.
Pressure on the technocracy will build. America is heading toward an institutional crisis in which the competence of the technocracy and the institutions of the federal government will be questioned.