Therefore, as in all social fears, there will be an increasing belief in the coming decade that the federal government is in the hands of conspirators. Such a conspiracy was unthinkable in the two prior institutional cycles, because federal power was simply not that vast. But in the 2020s the image of the federal government will make deliberate col

And the children of the industrial working class are thought of as the moral descendants of the Scots-Irish, a class that was once despised. Because this class is about 30 percent of the

of the federal government will be questioned.

Congress passes laws that are basically intentions funded with federal dollars. Experts interpret the intention and create regulations that are intended to implement the intentions. They then administer the regulations. The connection between the intention and the regulation is frequently incidental, but the regulations are so complex and the admin

For most of the 2020s, the driving economic force will be low growth in productivity, decreased opportunities for investment of accumulated capital, and low interest rates. It will also be a period of increasing unemployment, driven by continued decline in industry and stagnation in high tech as the result of the maturation of the core technology.

But accepting the idea that expertise can result in failure will require a stunning shift in the public’s perspective, even though holding the government in contempt has long been part of the culture. This is a key threat to the institutional structure of the third cycle and the technocracy that controls the institutions.

and those technocrats who must be disrupted in order to rebuild an efficient government and public life.

it will not be possible for the federal government to retreat from its deep involvement with society.

The institutional shift will weaken the credibility of the technocracy heading into the 2028 election.