We can imagine almost anything, but only a tiny fraction of what we imagine can become real. There is no easy way to verify how much change is possible. Hard-nosed realists may be right much of the time, but then, periodically, they become dramatically wrong. Wild-eyed visionaries may be wrong much of the time, but occasionally they become dramatic

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a good futurist spends a lot of time trying to decipher the present and to try to see it through the mask of present-day biases.

I sometimes think of “seeing the present” as trying on alien eyes; looking at the world as if I were an alien from another planet.

Trying to see beyond the immediate cycles of news is a challenge, because rather than being... See more