The Art of the Long View
Scenario planning is a narrative art, first and foremost. It homes in on the uncertainties that inevitably haunt a complex decision and forces the participants to imagine multiple versions of how that uncertain future might actually play out.
Steven Johnson • Farsighted: How We Make the Decisions That Matter the Most
Since all methods of predicting the future are flawed, Scenario Planning is a model for considering multiple realistic potential futures and assessing the risks and opportunities of each scenario. This can lead to better positioning today for an uncertain future.
Bob Gourley • Mental Models for Leadership in the Modern Age
