Tech Dollar 2: The War of the Worlds and Fate of the Dollar

Reserve currency status commands many benefits to the holder, which is why it is the ultimate prize of the international system, and the most exalted status within it. In modern times, it allows the issuer of the reserve currency to extract tribute from those subservient without having to use overt force.

So as long as the govt is running deficits that it has to monetize in order to pay for, inflation will continue at much higher rates.

While the tech, tech adjacent, oil and gas, commodities, food (real / hard assets and real production) etc kind of industries and surrounding industries plus the govt will continue to boom, the tech infrastructure will continue to reign supreme worldwide.

In the short term they will have to do some form of yield control, but they need rates to be high enough not to have the currency slide too far relative to the rest of the world. They are then going to have to print the difference.

Reserve currencies since we have understood them have been intertwined with the geopolitics as much as the economics of the system that sustains it. Which is why the incumbent generally converts that economic power to military dominance. When faced with a challenger, the up and coming competitor must unseat and surpass both the economic and militar... See more

My opinion is that should the US dollar fail, or lose in a global conflict, there is a possible competitor to the dollar, but that this isn’t enough to supplant the dollar as the global reserve currency. At least not within the next decade, which is what matters to most reading this. The BRICS system doesn’t have the unique economic requirement, no... See more

The delta between the value of the modern tech infrastructure, and the price they are selling their products at, the USD will remain supreme until this ends. To think of it another way, ask someone how much you would need to pay them to not use a modern smartphone/iPhone. Or ask a business how much they would have to be paid to not use modern weste... See more

While deficits of $1T+ per year, with debt repayments of nearly $1T themselves, people think this is unsustainable short term and will combust. I disagree, there is atleast a 5-10 year runway without the existential crisis, however as I said in TechDollar 1, it will get worse every year, the money printing will exacerbate all the issues internally ... See more

As long as this exists, and the tech infrastructure is priced and sold in USD, the USD remains supreme worldwide. This is what is actually still underpinning western global dominance and enabling American power. Not any other reason most people espouse.