stratscraps v178
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stratscraps v178
Forecasting is often vibes. But so is expertise
Often experts apply their knowledge in unfamiliar or uncertain situations. “How much will this policy decrease child poverty” “Will Biden leave in the next 3 days” “Will I feel better after taking painkillers?” “How much will sea levels rise?”
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[EXT] The-Lead: Building & Creativity in the Age of AI
docs.google.comMicrosoft & Google adding generative AI into office apps is a classic pattern of incumbents making the new thing a feature. But the new thing generally also enables completely new ways to solve the problem. ‘Easier spreadsheets’ is less important than ‘why is that a spreadsheet?’