September 2024 Newsletter: Why Nothing Stops This Fiscal Train

Item #1: Fiscal Deficits
U.S. fiscal deficits were huge in 2020 and 2021, but contracted in 2022 as most of the emergency programs dwindled.
However, by 2023, fiscal deficits began rising again , mainly due to increased interest expense. This is where fiscal dominance became rather sustained: the Fed’s interest rate hikes, which were meant to slow
... See moreLyn Alden • July 2024 Newsletter: Rates Insensitivity in the Downcycle

Every hyperinflation looked the same. “Hyperinflations are always caused by public budget deficits which are largely financed by money creation.” But even more interestingly, Bernholz identified the level at which hyperinflations can start. He concluded that “the figures demonstrate clearly that deficits amounting to 40 percent or more of expenditu
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