Robotics FOMO, Scaling Laws, & Technology Forecasting - Michael Dempsey: Blog
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Robotics FOMO, Scaling Laws, & Technology Forecasting - Michael Dempsey: Blog
Thoughts on AI
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Deep Tech: Demystifying the Breakthrough Technologies That Will Revolutionize Everything
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In 2023, AI must absorb an influx of tourists – thin GPT wrappers, MBA tweet threads about AI trends, LinkedIn bios changing from #crypto to #AI. Genuine technologists will join the development effort, but filtering out negative human capital is challenging.
Undoubtedly, more builders are needed to apply and productionize the latest technologies,
... See moreJohn Luttig • Is AI the new crypto?
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How did we get to the doorstep of the next leap in prosperity?
In three words: deep learning worked.
In 15 words: deep learning worked, got predictably better with scale, and we dedicated increasing resources to it.
That’s really it; humanity discovered an algorithm that could really, truly learn any distribution of data (or really, the underlying “ru... See more
In three words: deep learning worked.
In 15 words: deep learning worked, got predictably better with scale, and we dedicated increasing resources to it.
That’s really it; humanity discovered an algorithm that could really, truly learn any distribution of data (or really, the underlying “ru... See more
samaltman.com • The Intelligence Age
How did we get to the doorstep of the next leap in prosperity?
In three words: deep learning worked.
In 15 words: deep learning worked, got predictably better with scale, and we dedicated increasing resources to it.
That’s really it; humanity discovered an algorithm that could really, truly learn any distribution of data (or really, the underlying “rules” that produce any distribution of data). To a shocking degree of precision, the more compute and data available, the better it gets at helping people solve hard problems. I find that no matter how much time I spend thinking about this, I can never really internalize how consequential it is.
Technology has a clear, inevitable trajectory: mass diffusion in great roiling waves. This is true from the earliest flint and bone tools to the latest AI models.
Mustafa Suleyman • The Coming Wave: Technology, Power, and the Twenty-first Century's Greatest Dilemma
Speculative frenzies are part of technology, and so they are not something to be afraid of. Those who remain level-headed through this moment have the chance to build extremely important companies. But we need to make sure not to believe in the delusion that has now spread from Silicon Valley to the rest of the country, and indeed the world. That d... See more
David Cahn • AI’s $600B Question
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