Reflect
reflect.app
Reflect
The Lindy effect suggests that the longer an idea, technology, or institution has been around, the longer we should predict it to stick around in the future. Bicycles and barbells are roughly 200 years old; we might expect by chance to be halfway through their useful lifetime.
Richard Meadows • Optionality: How to Survive and Thrive in a Volatile World
One way to aim high is to try to make something that people will care about in a hundred years. Not because their opinions matter more than your contemporaries', but because something that still seems good in a hundred years is more likely to be genuinely good.
How to Do Great Work
People claim to want to do something that matters, yet they measure themselves against things that don’t, and track their progress not in years but in microseconds.”
-via Ryan Holiday, Perennial Seller: The Art of Making and Marketing Work that Lasts
Lindy Effect: "If a book has been in print for forty years, I can expect it to be in print for another forty years. But, and that is the main difference, if it survives another decade, then it will be expected to be in print another fifty years.”
We are extrapolating machines in a world where nothing too good or too bad lasts indefinitely. When you’re in the middle of a powerful trend it’s difficult to imagine a force strong enough to turn things the other way.
Morgan Housel • How People Think
the “Lindy effect,” where the longer something has been around, the likelier it is to stick around.