Reflect
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Reflect
Lindy Effect: "If a book has been in print for forty years, I can expect it to be in print for another forty years. But, and that is the main difference, if it survives another decade, then it will be expected to be in print another fifty years.”
The Lindy effect suggests that the longer an idea, technology, or institution has been around, the longer we should predict it to stick around in the future. Bicycles and barbells are roughly 200 years old; we might expect by chance to be halfway through their useful lifetime.