Especially important here are long-term shifts in societies – what Fernand Braudel described as the ‘longue durée’ – counterposing these to a short-term focus upon events. Braudel talks of ‘history whose passage is almost imperceptible, that of man [sic] in relationship to his environment, a history in which all change is slow, a history of

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The best futurists I know are really keen historians and study the past to see the future. They look carefully at the past because most of what will happen tomorrow is already happening today.

Studying the past and its behavior gives us great insight into our future.