Lyn_Alden_NOv_2024_report
In China: The 100-Year Storm on the Horizon and How the Five Big Forces Are Playing Out
Ray Daliolinkedin.comLooking ahead, the US is likely to see lower policy rates (circa 3%) and increased liquidity stimulus despite near-term inflation risks, as supply-side shocks from higher tariffs (taxes) slow growth and eventually curb price pressures. The Fed and Treasury are employing unconventional tools – including ‘Not-QE, QE’ (backdoor liquidity injections),... See more
Crescendo
-Most US spending on Social Security, Medicare, and Defense is unaffected by recent policy. All of this spending is sideways-to-up for the foreseeable future, which trickles into the consumer economy, the healthcare sector, and the defense sector.
-The two-speed economy is likely to remain in effect. High interest rates (even after some cuts),... See more
-The two-speed economy is likely to remain in effect. High interest rates (even after some cuts),... See more