July 2024 Newsletter: Rates Insensitivity in the Downcycle
The two-speed economy is likely to remain in effect. High interest rates (even after some cuts), Medicaid cuts, and other things continue to put downward pressure on lower-income and younger consumers on average. Meanwhile, fiscal spending continues to be aimed at older Americans on average, and wealthy Americans and institutions have generally
... See moreLyn Alden • August 2025 Newsletter: Tighter Fiscal, Looser Monetary
-Most US spending on Social Security, Medicare, and Defense is unaffected by recent policy. All of this spending is sideways-to-up for the foreseeable future, which trickles into the consumer economy, the healthcare sector, and the defense sector.
-The two-speed economy is likely to remain in effect. High interest rates (even after some cuts),... See more
-The two-speed economy is likely to remain in effect. High interest rates (even after some cuts),... See more