Daniel Kahneman’s Final Exploration of Human Error
In Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment (2021), by Daniel Kahneman
Noise is unaddressed fluctuations in professional decision-making. This indicates that decisions are not being made with sufficient consistency. Conversely, bias refers to the tendency of a person to make consistent decisions in similar situations.
The two ideas differ significantly, yet
The trouble with error is that we have a natural tendency to dismiss it. When Kevin Dunbar analyzed the data from his in vivo studies of microbiology labs, one of his most remarkable findings was just how many experiments produced results that were genuinely unexpected. More than half of the data collected by the researchers deviated significantly
... See moreSteven Johnson • Where Good Ideas Come From
Andy Bromberg: The wisdom of crowds is giving way to the “wisdom of communities.” In a world of ever-greater complexity, no one person can possibly make sense of all the signals and all the noise — from a single, static vantage point. A networked group is required to adapt to this new world... People are no longer being polled in isolation but rath... See more