Are Long-Games Real? I Suspect Mostly No | #292
He proposes that long-term games can be described as follows:
- First, long-term games are a series of connected short-term games toward a long-term objective, and you play short-term games NOT to win them but to increase the odds of success
- One of the most important things in a long-term game is to know and avoid common sources of failure.
- To play a
Paul Millerd • Are Long-Games Real? I Suspect Mostly No | #292
Ultimately, a long-term game must be unique to the individual . This is because to maximize the odds of success and design against failure, you must design a strategy around your unique advantages and disadvantages.
Paul Millerd • Are Long-Games Real? I Suspect Mostly No | #292
For the most part, I don’t blame anyone. But what’s concerning is that this spirit of exit is becoming the de-facto goal of many people.
- People want to hit it big with equity compensation at the right company
- Work for the highest paying companies no matter what they have to do
- Founding companies just for the chance of an exit, even if they don’t care
Paul Millerd • Are Long-Games Real? I Suspect Mostly No | #292
Stay-in-until-I_can quit games
“If we act upon the desire to emulate those growing faster than us, we are more likely to imitate short-term optimization than competence .”
Paul Millerd • Are Long-Games Real? I Suspect Mostly No | #292
If you were fully “in it” in the tech scene of the 2010s, it may have felt like a game you would play forever. But a lot of what was happening was short-term games and short-term optimization.
Most people did not want to participate for 30+ years or even 10+ years. They wanted to secure the bag, a literal exit, or to downshift to a more comfortable... See more
Most people did not want to participate for 30+ years or even 10+ years. They wanted to secure the bag, a literal exit, or to downshift to a more comfortable... See more
Paul Millerd • Are Long-Games Real? I Suspect Mostly No | #292
more charitable interpretation of what’s going on in Silicon Valley is not that there are people thinking long-term at all but that an environment exists where being more generous and helping others succeed is rewarded and this is different than many other parts of the economy.