9 Forecasts for the Near Future, With Implications

There’s a lot of speculation and rhetoric these days about whether AI democratizes creativity or advances it. However, it is abundantly clear to me that both are true.

On the one hand, humanity’s creative confidence for humanity has gone up as people of all ages are able to prompt whatever is in their mind’s eye and express themselves visually. We’... See more

I think we're about to enter a period of 1-2 years, with a 'cringe gap' around AI.

Most generated content will look the same. The same styles. The same prompts. But a small group of creators will figure out their own unique format, and scale it to infinity. Taste and vision have never been more valuable.

The analogy to publishing also point to what will be the long-term trend for any profession affected by these models: relatively undifferentiated creators who depended on the structural bundling of idea creation and substantiation will be reduced to competing with zero marginal cost creators for attention generated and directed from Aggregators; hi... See more